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SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Yearly Archives: 2024


Will Anthony Albanese succeed where Bill Shorten failed in making changes to the taxation treatment of property investment?

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Taxation | 26th September 2024

Article published by Pearls and Irritations on 26th September 2024, revisiting the arguments for winding backk ‘negative gearing’ and the capital gains tax discount, in the light of press reports suggesting that the Albanese Governmnt has asked Treasury to consider options for reform.


‘Super for housing’ is a souped-up first home owners grants scheme – and it won’t help any more than first home owners grants have

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing | 24th September 2024

The Hobart Mercury published an op-ed article on 24th September about the Liberal-National Coalition’s proposal to allow people to withdraw funds from their superannuation (retirement income) savings accounts in order to assist with the purchase of a first home.  


‘Super for Housing’ – a Thoroughly Bad Idea

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, The Australian Economy, Topics | 19th September 2024

Saul’s analysis of the Liberal-National Coalition’s proposal to allow people to withdraw up to 40% of their superannnuation savings (up to a maximum of $100,000) in order to purchase a first home (subject to a requirement that the amount withdrawn be re-invested in superannuation when that home is sold), commissioned by the Super Members’ Council, published […]


A ‘path back to surplus’ for the Tasmanian Budget? Not really

Tasmania | 17th September 2024

Saul’s op-ed in the Hobart Mercury of 17th September arguing that, contrary to the Tasmanian Government’s assertions, the 2024-25 Budget does not chart a credible ‘path back to surplus by 2029-30’ – or at least, not a surplus which can then be used to start repaying debt.


What’s happening in the economy – nationally and in Tasmania

Economic Policies, Tasmania, The Australian Economy | 13th September 2024

Saul’s presentation to the Governance Institute of Australia’s Tasmanian Governance Forum on 13th September 2024, providing some perspectives on recent developments in the Australian economy and the outlook for interest rates – and also the Tasmanian economy, the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances and the 2024-25 Budget presented the day before.


Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 with Leon Compton

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 13th September 2024

Saul talks to ABC Hobart’s Leon Compton about Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 


Tasmania’s 2024-25 State Budget – an Assessment

Economic Policies, Tasmania | 12th September 2024

Saul’s  ‘take’ on the 2024-25 Tasmanian Budget, presented by Treasurer Michael Ferguson on 12th September 2024. In a nutshell, the Government has left the task of returning Tasmania’s public finances to a sustainable position to another day – or to another government.


Solutions to Australia’s Housing Crisis

Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 11th September 2024

Saul Eslake spoke to ABC Radio Brisbane’s Afternoons presenter Kate Feeney about solutions to Australia’s housing crisis on 10th September 2024


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The 2025-26 Federal Budget – An Assessment
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
27th March 2025


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th March 2025


The Impact of President Trump’s ‘trade war’
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
18th March 2025


Potential Risks in the Australian Share Market
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
18th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 3)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
17th March 2025


Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
16th March 2025


Erratic US Trade Policy
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
15th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
14th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
14th March 2025


Podcast: Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Tasmania
13th March 2025


The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
13th March 2025


What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
12th March 2025


Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma
Economic Policies, Tasmania
12th March 2025


The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
9th March 2025


Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
9th March 2025


NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2025

Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 13th March 2025

What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025

Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025

How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poor states’
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 25th November 2024

Negative Gearing
Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 26th September 2024

Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 with Leon Compton
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 13th September 2024

Solutions to Australia’s Housing Crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 11th September 2024

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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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