Yearly Archives: 2025
Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025In his annual ‘State of the State’ address to the Tasmanian Parliament on 4th March, Tasmania’s Premier the Hon. Jeremy Rockliff MP announced that he had asked me to provide the Government with advice as to whether it should consider selling any of its state-owned enterprises (other than Hydro Tasmania, the state-owned electricity generation company, […]
Victoria’s economy and public finances
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy | 5th March 2025Victoria’s economy has begun to under-perform that of the rest of Australia, even though its population growth rate (which has under-pinned an above average ‘headline’ economic growth rate for most of the past two decades) is still above that of the rest of Australia. But measured in terms of either per capita gross product, or […]
China Live-fire in the Tasman Sea
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Tasmania | 2nd March 2025Saul Eslake talks with the newest member of the InEconomics team, Rear Admiral Rowan Moffatt AO, RAN (retd) about what the flotilla from the Chinese PLA-Navy was doing in the Tasman Sea and other waters off the Australian coast last week, what China might be seeking to achieve by that, and what the implications for Australia might be.
Potential ‘Black Swan’ Events
Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 27th February 2025Saul Eslake talks with LinkedIn’s Finance Editor Misa Han about potential ‘black swan’ events for financial markets in 2025 – including a possible melt-down in crypto-currencies, ongoing increases in bond yields, outbreaks of military conflicts and escalating trade tensions. Yes, there are also things to be optimistic about – but markets seem to have ‘price those in’, whilst giving much less weight to potential negative shocks.
Share Market Risks
Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 27th February 2025Saul talks with LinkedIn Finance Editor Misa Han about some of the potential risks facing share market investors this year, including rising bond yields, stretched valuations, disappointments with realizing the potential of AI (or in identifying ‘winners’ and ‘losers’), and ‘contagion risks’ in the event of a melt-down in crypto-currencies’.
Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025
Saul spoke to ABC Radio Hobart and Tasmania Statewide’s “Mornings” presenter Leon Compton about the latest update on Tasmania’s public finances, and the Government’s formal response to the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances published in August 2024.
Interest Rate Outlook 2025
Economic Video, The Australian Economy | 12th February 2025Saul Eslake talked to LinkedIn News Australia’s Misa Han about Interest Rate Outlook 2025
The Economic Consequences of Mr Trump
Economic Policies, The Global Economy | 29th January 2025A presentation to my colleagues in Independent Economics (Home – Independent Economics) about the likely economic consequences (including for inflation and economic growth) of Donald Trump’s policies on tariffs and trade, immigration and deportations, taxes and the US budget, and the independence of the US’ central bank, the Federal Reserve.