SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Reflections on finishing up as Chief Economist at ANZ


Profile | 15th August 2009

ANZ head economist discusses big bank experience
Ali Moore | ABC Lateline Business | 30th July 2009

ANZ’s Eslake highlights focus on China
Jordan Chong | Sydney Morning Herald | 7th August 2009

Both of these interviews refer to the episode in March 2002 when the then Australian Treasurer (Finance Minister) Peter Costello rang my then boss, ANZ Chief Executive John McFarlane, threatening to take (according to the latter) “regulatory action that ANZ would not like” in response to comments I’d made earlier that day in answering a question at a conference of chartered accountants as to whether the then Australian Government had ever engaged in any ‘creative accounting’, in which I had replied, “yes they have”, and gave three examples, including the pretence that the goods and services tax (GST) which had been introduced two years earlier was a State, rather than a federal tax, but also noted that previous governments had also engaged in ‘creative accounting’. To his great credit (in my view), John McFarlane did not threaten my security of employment, but did ask me to attempt to ‘smooth things over’ which Mr Costello (who I had known personally since the early 1980s) – which I attempted to do, but he wouldn’t take my call. I related this episode to a few journalists on the condition that they couldn’t use it until I left my position or Mr Costello left his, whichever came first. When Mr Costello foreshadowed his resignation from the Australian Parliament, after the Government in which he had been Treasurer was defeated at the December 2007 election, some of those wrote up the story, including Fairfax Media’s Peter Martin and Tim Colebatch, and the West Australian’s Andrew Probyn.

Sydney Morning Herald international editor Peter Hartcher also included an account of the episode in his book on the 2007 election, To the Bitter End (Allen & Unwin, 2009)

SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement


WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The 2025-26 Federal Budget – An Assessment
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
27th March 2025


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th March 2025


The Impact of President Trump’s ‘trade war’
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
18th March 2025


Potential Risks in the Australian Share Market
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
18th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 3)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
17th March 2025


Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
16th March 2025


Erratic US Trade Policy
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
15th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
14th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
14th March 2025


Podcast: Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Tasmania
13th March 2025


The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
13th March 2025


What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
12th March 2025


Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma
Economic Policies, Tasmania
12th March 2025


The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
9th March 2025


Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
9th March 2025


NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2025

Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 13th March 2025

What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025

Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025

How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poor states’
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 25th November 2024

Negative Gearing
Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 26th September 2024

Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 with Leon Compton
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 13th September 2024

Solutions to Australia’s Housing Crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 11th September 2024

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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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