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SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Economic Video


Potential Risks in the Australian Share Market

Economic Policies, Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 18th March 2025

Saul spoke to Sean Boss of Hot Copper, a website for retail investors, on 14th March about the potential risks for investors in the Australian share market, and how to manage them.


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 3)

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security | 17th March 2025

Another thought-provoking discussion from Saul Eslake and Rear Admiral Rowan Moffitt AO, RAN (retd) about Australia’s defense challenges and the delicate balancing act between the Navy, Air Force, and Army. This conversation explores key topics such as military funding rivalry, modern fleet capabilities, and how Australia addresses its strategic defense needs. From the youngest Air Force fleet to the evolving role of the Army and the Navy’s challenges, we unpack the complexities of national defense in the modern era.


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security | 14th March 2025

Saul Eslake talks with the newest member of the InEconomics team, Rear Admiral Rowan Moffitt AO, RAN (retd) about Australia’s defense strategy amid shifting global dynamics. With China’s increasing military presence and evolving U.S. alliances, how should Australia respond? This discussion explores defense spending, strategic partnerships, and the necessity of a national security framework. Are we making the right choices, or are we stuck in outdated defense policies? Watch now to gain expert insights on the future of Australia’s military strategy.


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security | 14th March 2025

Saul Eslake and Rowan Moffitt discuss Australia’s defense strategy amid shifting global dynamics. With China’s increasing military presence and evolving U.S. alliances, how should Australia respond? This discussion explores defense spending, strategic partnerships, and the necessity of a national security framework. Are we making the right choices, or are we stuck in outdated defense policies? Watch now to gain expert insights on the future of Australia’s military strategy.Saul Eslake and Rowan Moffitt: Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)


Podcast: Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma

Economic Policies, Economic Video, Tasmania | 13th March 2025

Podcast recording of Saul Eslake’s presentation to a public forum hosted by the University of Tasmania, as part of its “Island of Ideas” series, in Hobart on 12th March 2025 – at which he discusses the Tasmanian Government’s response to his Independent Review of Tasmania’s Public Finances, published in August last year (and available here).


China Live-fire in the Tasman Sea

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Tasmania | 2nd March 2025

Saul Eslake talks with the newest member of the InEconomics team, Rear Admiral Rowan Moffatt AO, RAN (retd) about what the flotilla from the Chinese PLA-Navy was doing in the Tasman Sea and other waters off the Australian coast last week, what China might be seeking to achieve by that, and what the implications for Australia might be.


Potential ‘Black Swan’ Events

Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 27th February 2025

Saul Eslake talks with LinkedIn’s Finance Editor Misa Han about potential ‘black swan’ events for financial markets in 2025 – including a possible melt-down in crypto-currencies, ongoing increases in bond yields, outbreaks of military conflicts and escalating trade tensions. Yes, there are also things to be optimistic about – but markets seem to have ‘price those in’, whilst giving much less weight to potential negative shocks.


Share Market Risks

Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 27th February 2025

Saul talks with LinkedIn Finance Editor Misa Han about some of the potential risks facing share market investors this year, including rising bond yields, stretched valuations, disappointments with realizing the potential of AI (or in identifying ‘winners’ and ‘losers’), and ‘contagion risks’ in the event of a melt-down in crypto-currencies’.


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th March 2025


The Impact of President Trump’s ‘trade war’
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
18th March 2025


Potential Risks in the Australian Share Market
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
18th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 3)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
17th March 2025


Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
16th March 2025


Erratic US Trade Policy
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
15th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
14th March 2025


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
14th March 2025


Podcast: Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma
Economic Policies, Economic Video, Tasmania
13th March 2025


The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
13th March 2025


What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
12th March 2025


Tasmania’s Debt Dilemma
Economic Policies, Tasmania
12th March 2025


The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy
9th March 2025


Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News
9th March 2025


Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
6th March 2025


NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2025

Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 13th March 2025

What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025

Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025

How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poor states’
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 25th November 2024

Negative Gearing
Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 26th September 2024

Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 with Leon Compton
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 13th September 2024

Solutions to Australia’s Housing Crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 11th September 2024

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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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