SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Using super for home deposit a ‘thoroughly bad idea’: Economist Saul Eslake


Housing, News, Taxation | 11th April 2017

James-Elton Pym | SBS News | 11th April 2017

Letting young people dip into their superannuation to fund house deposits would increase buying power and drive house prices higher, the independent economist has warned.

Independent economist Saul Eslake says Liberal backbenchers advocating a plan to allow young people to use their superannuation as a home deposit would only drive up house prices.

Mr Eslake said the scheme showed the government had learned nothing from the history of political interventions in the Australian housing market.

Backbench Liberals Craig Kelly and Tony Abbott have voiced support for the idea, as the Turnbull Government works on the design of a housing affordability package expected in the May budget.

Mr Kelly said the idea had a “lot of merit” and believed “many of [his] Coalition colleagues” might support the scheme.

He said he did not support a three-year limit on the amount of super that could be diverted, nor an age limit on who could access it.

“We should always push for home ownership rates to be increasing, but we’ve seen in recent years they’ve been on the decrease,” he told ABC Radio.

But Mr Eslake, a vice-chancellor’s fellow at the University of Tasmania, said the scheme would do nothing to improve home ownership rates.

“History shows that anything which allows Australians to spend more on housing than they otherwise would … results not in more Australians owning houses, but rather in the houses which Australians already own becoming more expensive,” he said.

That is because the market adjusts to the increased buying power of consumers and prices rise commensurately, he said.

Mr Eslake said Australian politicians had experimented with demand-side interventions for 50 years without success.

“It’s hard to think of any area of government policy which has been pursued for so long in the face of such incontrovertible evidence that it doesn’t work,” Mr Eslake said.

Last month Treasurer Scott Morrison said there was “no proposal” to allow retirement funds to be used on house deposits, but has not explicitly ruled out the idea.

Sky News has reported it understands the Turnbull Government will not include the scheme in the upcoming Budget.

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull was quoted in Fairfax Media last year describing it as a “thoroughly bad idea”, a sentiment Mr Eslake agreed with.

“I think it is, as the prime minister said… a thoroughly bad idea,” he said.

“Its effect will largely be to put further upward pressure on home prices to the detriment of almost all of those who are still looking to buy their home.”

SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


Request Speaking Engagement


WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Australia’s ‘housing crisis’ – and how (and why) both major political parties plan to make it worse
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
19th April 2025


Housing Policies Could Push Up Prices
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview
17th April 2025


Housing policies in the 2025 election
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News
17th April 2025


Bad Housing Policy (yet again?)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation
14th April 2025


There must be an election on – both major parties are proposing policies which will push up house prices
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Publications, Taxation
13th April 2025


Things that we should be (but won’t be) talking about during the current election campaign
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Productivity
11th April 2025


Trump’s Apparent Tariffs Backflip
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy
10th April 2025


Trump’s Tariffs and China’s reaction
Economic Policies, Globalization, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
10th April 2025


Tariffs, Global Economics, and the Future of Trade Policies
Economic Policies, Globalization, News, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
8th April 2025


Stocks bloodbath: Why investors no longer think Trump can make America great again
Economic Policies, News, The Global Economy
7th April 2025


Our World – Suddenly Not Like It Was – Part 1
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security
6th April 2025


The Importance of Productivity – and What to Do About It
Economic Policies, Productivity, The Australian Economy
29th March 2025


The 2025-26 Federal Budget – An Assessment
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
27th March 2025


What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th March 2025


The Impact of President Trump’s ‘trade war’
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, US Economy Video
18th March 2025


NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


Australia’s ‘housing crisis’ – and how (and why) both major political parties plan to make it worse
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 19th April 2025

Housing Policies Could Push Up Prices
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 17th April 2025

Housing policies in the 2025 election
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News | 17th April 2025

Bad Housing Policy (yet again?)
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 14th April 2025

Tariffs, Global Economics, and the Future of Trade Policies
Economic Policies, Globalization, News, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 8th April 2025

Stocks bloodbath: Why investors no longer think Trump can make America great again
Economic Policies, News, The Global Economy | 7th April 2025

What might and might not be in the budget
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2025

Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 13th March 2025

What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

Read more

VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

Read more